Sidney Wolfe, the author of the editorial, comments:
Marc Russo’s assertions that the seven-year rule, if adopted by all patients, would result in a situation in which ‘no patients would be taking any new drugs’ and would ‘have profound effects on achieving any improvement in disease state’ are both incorrect. The editorial clearly states that the rule would not apply to that small proportion of new drugs that represent therapeutic breakthroughs. Patients are not discouraged from using breakthrough drugs, which are defined as offering ‘a documented therapeutic advantage over older, proven drugs’. Furthermore, if more patients and their healthcare providers adhered to the rule, there might actually be more incentives for drug companies to develop true breakthrough drugs to improve treatment of diseases, rather than developing a tenth ACE inhibitor, an eighth angiotensin II receptor antagonist or a seventh statin.
Beyond the absence of a documented therapeutic advantage of many new drugs is the increased likelihood of harm from a drug that is statistically much more likely than established, time-tested drugs to have a new risk discovered after marketing – one serious enough to trigger a new black box warning or even market withdrawal.
Russo’s proposed alternative to the not ‘necessarily balanced’ seven-year rule is to ‘leave it to a harm-benefit discussion between the patient and their prescriber’ to see if the new medication warrants being used. This risks a decision that will likely be tilted toward use because of massively higher promotion of these new drugs to doctors compared with older ones. This decision is therefore more likely to be necessarily unbalanced.